Séminaire Quaresmi ce 15 octobre 2020 “The Markovian binary tree applied to demography and conservation biology”

Jeudi 15 octobre à 14h, Sophie Hautphenne, senior lecturer à la School of Mathematics and Statistics de l’université de Melbourne, nous fera l’honneur de nous présenter un exposé intitulé “The Markovian binary tree applied to demography and conservation biology”, dont voici un résumé:

Markovian binary trees form a general and tractable class of continuous-time branching processes, which makes them well-suited for real-world applications. Thanks to their appealing probabilistic and computational features, these processes have proven to be an excellent modelling tool for applications in population biology. Typical performance measures of these models include the extinction probability of a population, the distribution of the population size at a given time, the total progeny size until extinction, and the asymptotic population composition. Besides giving an overview of the main performance measures and the techniques involved to compute them, we discuss recently developed statistical methods to estimate the model parameters, depending on the accuracy of the available data. We illustrate our results in human demography and in conservation biology.

La présentation aura lieu sur Teams et sera retransmise en direct à l’ICHEC, site Anjou, local E101 à 14h. Pour faciliter l’organisation, merci de vous inscrire auprès de Celine.Engelbeen@ichec.be.

Au plaisir de vous y voir nombreux !